Week 10 Crag Index

This week’s bye teams were Green Bay, Arizona, Cleveland and Washington. While those backs slept Arian Foster topped 100 in the Crag and still holds the reigns on this years charge to the finish line. Here’s how the running backs rank after ten weeks of play with last week’s rank in parenthesis:

  1. Arian Foster – 107.03         (1)
  2. Doug Martin – 85.14             (2)
  3. Ray Rice – 71.83                    (3)
  4. Marshawn Lynch – 63.21    (8)
  5. Adrian Peterson – 62.01       (4)
  6. Frank Gore – 58.40                (6)
  7. Trent Richardson – 51.11      (7)
  8. Ahmad Bradshaw – 50.93     (5)
  9. Willis McGahee – 50.43           (9)
  10. Shonn Greene – 45.67             (10)
  11. Andre Brown – 45.64              (13)
  12. Stevan Ridley – 44.26             (14)
  13. Mike Turner – 36.09                (11)
  14. Mikel LeShoure – 33.99         (12)
  15. C.J. Spiller – 31.75                  (16)
  16. Chris Johnson – 30.16           (21)
  17. Reggie Bush – 28.88               (15)
  18. Alfred Morris – 27.03           (17)
  19. Matt Forte – 24.40               (18)
  20. BenJarvus Green-Ellis – 22.29  (19)
  21. LeSean McCoy – 21.64           (20)
  22. Jamaal Charles – 18.86           (22)
  23. Felix Jones – 14.24                  (29)
  24. Fred Jackson – 13.95             (36)
  25. Chris Ivory – 13.30                 (38)
  26. Mike Bush – 12.73                   (23)
  27. Darren Sproles – 10.84          (24)
  28. Danny Woodhead – 10.21     (39)
  29. Jackie Battle – 9.91                  (25)
  30. Isaac Redman – 9.39                (28)
  31. Steve Jackson – 8.63               (46)
  32. Joique Bell – 8.25                    (27)
  33. Maurice Jones-Drew – 8.19    (31)
  34. Larod Stephens-Howling – 8.16    (32)
  35. Darren McFadden – 8.16              (26)
  36. DeAngelo Williams – 7.16            (30)
  37. Ryan Mathews – 6.52                    (33)
  38. Daniel Thomas – 6.38                      (49)
  39. Pierre Thomas – 5.87                      (34)
  40. Don Brown – 5.38                         (41)
  41. Vick Ballard – 5.11                      (43)
  42. Kendall Hunter – 4.93                (35)
  43. Demarco Murray – 4.28               (37)
  44. Kevin Smith – 4.15                      (40)
  45. Brandon Bolden – 4.13               (42)
  46. Jacquizz Rodgers – 3.77           (44)
  47. Mark Ingram – 3.66                   (51)
  48. Cedric Benson – 3.52                   (48)
  49. Ben Tate – 3.49                               (45)
  50. Jonathan Stewart – 3.16             (47)

If you drafted early on Darren McFadden, Demarco Murray or Maurice Jones-Drew it is distressing that this late in the season they are ranked among back up running backs on the index. You might get the ink ready for the official ‘BUST’ stamp.  The top seven have proved recession proof  with production against even some of the hardest match-ups. You’ve probably figured out by now they are must starts every week. The next group from 8-22 are solid second options for running backs and are consistent performers. Although they lack the big game that might win your whole week, like Doug Martin putting up over 50 in week 9, they should be started every week as well.  In the fortunate situation that you have three running backs with a Crag Index over 20, you might be in for some tough start/sit decisions. If your backs are all under 22, well you probably just missed the deadline for a trade and there’s nothing I can say that will help you now. Picking up a backup for a running back over 29 and hoping for the injury at this point might be your only hope.

Good luck in week 11!

Crag Index Week 9

First off, I have to apologize.  I have tried my best to maintain innovation and deliver the cutting edge in running back analysis through a statistical indexed rating of all running backs. There are many ways to examine the position but, unlike the quarterback which has it’s own singular rating as well as the Everyday Sports Paparazzi Network’s new rating, the running back is left to the rudimentary statistics. I strive for the cumulative rating that comprehends all the necessary facets of a top tier fantasy running back. All good, but my math was off the last couple weeks for Arian Foster.  He has been the top running back most of the season but he isn’t as far ahead of the league as his Crag has shown. Personally I see this as bush league but I did it and I’m not about to cover it up *cough*Benghazi*cough*.

To correct myself, his Crag for week 8 should have been 84.665 instead of 184.5, for week 7  and 8 (week 8 was his bye) which was still number 1, but week 6 should have been  60.113 instead of 120.55 – which means Ray Rice had him topped in week 6. Everything before week 6 was accurate to the best I can tell at this point (wait for future audits to prove otherwise) and I will attempt to push forward with the most innovative and credulous attempt to statistically analyze the running back position in a way that hasn’t yet been approached. I have been flooded with political mambo jambo so if this is unbearable then just know I am in a ‘battleground state’ and that I promise change for the better. Giddy up and HUZZAH! to week 9’s best try at honesty, the CRAG INDEX!!!!!

Keep in mind that St. Louis, New England, NY Jets and San Francisco held the same index through their bye weeks with no progression and to add to that and your fantasy football hopes you only have two more week of bye’s – almost there. Last week’s rankings are in parenthesis as usual.

The suspense on the Crag Index is back… Who will be the first to 100?!!?!???!

 

Here are the top 40 through 9 weeks –

  1. A. Foster – 98.04                (1)
  2. D. Martin – 84.71                (8)
  3. R. Rice – 70.19                    (3)
  4. A. Peterson – 56.82           (9)
  5. A. Bradshaw – 54.22          (2)
  6. F. Gore – 53.45                    (4)
  7. T. Richardson – 51.11        (5)
  8. M. Lynch – 48.31                 (11)
  9. W. McGahee – 46.67         (6)
  10. S. Greene – 43.43               (7)
  11. M. Turner – 40.90             (13)
  12. M. LeShoure – 37.97        (27)
  13. A. Brown – 37.09               (12)
  14.  S. Ridley – 36.50              (10)
  15. R. Bush – 33.05                  (16)
  16. C.J. Spiller  – 29.48            (14)
  17. A. Morris – 27.03              (15)
  18. M. Forte – 24.59                 (19)
  19. B. Green-Ellis – 22.64        (18)
  20. L. McCoy – 21.85                (17)
  21. C. Johnson – 21.66            (20)
  22. J. Charles – 12.66              (23)
  23. M. Bush – 12.26                  (21)
  24. D. Sproles – 12.24              (22)
  25. J. Battle – 11.95                (24)
  26. D. McFadden – 10.23        (25)
  27. J. Bell – 9.86                       (46)
  28. I. Redman – 9.34                (45)
  29. F. Jones – 9.34                   (29)
  30. D. Williams – 8.84            (35)
  31. M. Jones-Drew – 8.52      (26)
  32. L. Stephens-Howling – 8.16  (38)
  33. R. Mathews – 7.81                (29)
  34. P. Thomas- 6.38                (32)
  35. K. Hunter – 6.12               (31)
  36. F. Jackson – 5.68             (30)
  37. D. Murray – 5.33             (34)
  38. C. Ivory – 5.18                  (NR)
  39. D. Woodhead – 5.16       (36)
  40. K. Smith – 5.01                 (51)

Week 9 UPs and OUTs

Here are your Week 9 UPs and OUTs

UPs – 

  1. Matt Schaub – Facing the Bills, who have not been good, as he comes back from the bye. The risk with him is that they just run all day on the Bills.
  2. Jonathan Stewart – Getting the majority of the touches now with Deangelo on the outs which might be enough for him to get going against the Redskins
  3. Michael Bush – If you have Matt Forte you are definitely starting him but if the Titans falter and the Bears get up early the rumbling of Mike Bush might see pay dirt against a porous run defense.
  4. Denarius Moore – He has been better and better as the season wears on and he expands his route tree.
  5. Desean Jackson – The Eagles have their backs against the wall and Jackson should be ready to beat up on a tough Saints defense.
  6. Kyle Rudolph – The Seahawks are tough to score on all together but they can be soft up the middle for Rudolph to get going.
  7. San Diego Chargers Defense – Kansas City is a turnover waiting to happen whenever they have the ball.

OUTs –

  1. Matt Ryan – The Cowboys have been rough lately and the Falcons are going home where strangely Julio Jones disappears.
  2. Eli Manning – Only averaging 11.46 points per game in the last 3 and will face the Steelers who have been decent despite injuries.
  3. Chris Johnson – He has been coming on lately and has had good games against the Steelers and Texans but Chicago will be a different beast for Johnson to tame.
  4. Adrian Peterson – While he has made the best recovery from a significant knee injury perhaps ever, he will find the running rough in Seattle where they have only allowed one 100 yard rusher and most not named Frank Gore closer to 50 yards.
  5. A.J. Green – Champ Bailey put a blanket on Colston for most of the game last week and their Defense seems to be clicking.
  6. Julio Jones – He put the hurt on Asomugha last week but the Cowboys have been more disciplined against the pass and again his numbers at home are poor.
  7. Antonio Gates – He might be aging before our eyes as he seems to struggle to get open lately and couldn’t put up points on the Browns last week.
  8. New York Giants Defense – The Giants have the most takeaways in the league but the Steelers have the least giveaways.

Here is a recap from week 8 –  QB’s should score over/under 15, RB/WR’s over/under 10, TE’s over/under 8 and Defense over 8…

UPs that were UP – Shonn Greene at 10.6 points.

UPs that were OUT – Andrew Luck – 17.68, Alex Green – 8.2, Josh Gordon – 4.6, Kenny Britt – 3.4, Jermichael Finley – 2.4 and Atlanta Defense at 4 points.

UPs for week 8 = 1-6.                                   UPs record for the season = 26-25

OUTs that were OUT – Eli Manning – 6.98, Sam Bradford – 11.5, Alfred Morris – 5.9, Steven Jackson – 4.5, Calvin Johnson – 4.6, Victor Cruz – 2.3, and Vernon Davis at 3.4 points.

OUTs that were UP – Green Bay Packers Defense at 13 points.

OUTs for week 8 = 7-1                                  OUTs record for the season = 29-25

Overall record for the season = 55-50  at 52%

If half your team is on the outs and the other half is on the ups then you might just be alright if I’m going to stay around 50%….